The model run results cover the period of October 27, through November 16, and are based on the following assumptions:

Common Assumptions

1. CCFB Gates are operating to Priority 1 throughout the forecast period.
2. The Delta Cross Channel gates are projected to be closed October 29 through October 30, and open during the remainder of the forecast period.  
3. The Middle River ag. Barrier is installed with all 6 flap-gates operating tidally, the barrier is anticipated to be removed on November 20. 
4. The Old River at Tracy ag. Barrier is installed with all 9 flap-gates operating tidally, the barrier is anticipated to be removed on November 5. 
5. The Grant Line Canal ag. Barrier is installed with all 6 culvert flap-gates operating tidally, the barrier is anticipated to be removed on November 5. 
6. The Fall-Head of Old River Barrier is installed with a notch and all 6 culvert slide-gates closed, the culvert slide-gates will be opened on November 4, and is anticipated to be removed on November 13. 
7. The West False River drought barrier was officially breached on October 1 and is being gradually removed through November 15. 
8.  Suisun Marsh salinity control flashboards are in and the three Suisun Marsh Salinity Control Gates are in tidal operation.
9.  San Joaquin River flow at Vernalis is 990 cfs at the beginning of the forecast period and is anticipated to decrease to 350 cfs by the end of the forecast period. The higher flow at the beginning of the forecast period is due to the fall pulse flow on the Stanislaus River as required by the NMFS Biological Opinion.
10. San Joaquin River EC at Vernalis is projected to increase from 190 umhos/cm at the beginning of the forecast period to 485 umhos/cm by the end of forecast period

With Transfers (Base Case, A) Assumptions

11.  Sacramento River flow at Freeport is at 6,495 cfs at the beginning of the forecast period and decreases to 5,570 cfs by the end of the forecast period.
12. CCFB intake decreases from 500 cfs at the beginning of the forecast period to 300 cfs by the end of the forecast period. 
13. Export at Jones Pumping Plant decreases from 1,600 cfs at the beginning of the forecast period to 860 cfs by the end of the forecast period. 

Without Transfers (B) Assumptions

11.  Sacramento River flow at Freeport is at 6,495 cfs at the beginning of the forecast period and decreases to 4,480 cfs by the end of the forecast period.
12. CCFB intake increases from 260 cfs at the beginning of the forecast period to 300 cfs by the end of the forecast period. 
13. Export at Jones Pumping Plant increases from 830 cfs at the beginning of the forecast period to 860 cfs by the end of the forecast period.